16 year old Report: US Intel Geopolitical and Economic Assessment of India in the year 2020. “The global community will have to deal with the military, political and economic dimensions of the rise of China and India…” US National Intelligence Council, Feb 2005 Forecast on India in the year 2020.
“The US NIC (National Intelligence Council) also forecast that India, China and Russia could form a de facto geo-strategic alliance in an attempt to counter-balance US and western influence.” (No Indian leader can even consider such repartee with China now = Covid – an undeniable multi-level impact)
“India will be the unrivalled regional power with a large military — including naval and nuclear capabilities — and a dynamic and growing economy,” National Intelligence Council, NIC which represents 15 spy agencies of the US including the CIA.
Connect the Dots. India has endured the impacts of asymmetrical warfare longer than any other nation in the history of the world. Wake Up Bharatiyas! Throw off your Naivety! These Intel Agency Forecasts are not developed for mere scholarly pursuits. They are in fact used as templates designed to effect the outcome of the targeted nation.
The decades of ‘ death by a thousand cuts’ strategy against India was squashed by the election of PM Narendra Modi. Being inter-dependent, both the endless Terror attacks and the former Sonia Gandhi – Singh Administration ceased to function with the election of Modi.
Representing the first truly indigenous geo-political power to rise up in over 500 years; India, is the 6th greatest power in the world today; a near match to the West and it’s western oriented subsidiaries.
Have no doubt about it, your nation is currently being confronted by the most diabolical phase in a centuries-long campaign to obliterate the World’s last remaining and functioning indigenous civilization. Vedic civilization is undoubtedly your heritage yet it is the legacy for all Mankind.
Burning your pilgrims in trains, machine gun attacks on your Parliament, bombing massacres bat temples, mosques and churches all failed to derail you! Your Faith was never shaken! Now, your collective faith and your traditions, your cultures, your spiritual and indigenous political leaders has been shaken to the core.
Unlike any other civilization you have maintained your direct connectivity to the ancestors. Long before the pyramids arose in the sands of Egypt, the people of India offered oblations to the Sun, hands uplifted with the Sacred Water of the Ganges.
As the World’s last remaining Indigenous Civilization you represent the last hope for Humanity! Do Not Be Fooled! Ignore the Narrative designed to destroy your civilization once and for all. Hari Om! Satyameva Jayate!
PS Even if your Native leaders erred in judgement, only the foolish can doubt their intentions for a prosperous, vibrant India. The current Indian Administration has an undeniable track record of progressive policies that simultaneously uplifted the lives of millions while reviving the ancient indigenous traditions. The alternative is a return to dysfunctionality, poverty and lives of mundane mediocrity and base consumerism.
Washington, February 24, 2005: India will emerge as an “unrivalled” regional power with large military capabilities in the next 15 years but its “rising ambition” would further strain its relations with China besides complicating ties with Russia and Japan, America’s National Intelligence Council has said in a report.
“India will be the unrivalled regional power with a large military — including naval and nuclear capabilities — and a dynamic and growing economy,” the NIC, which represents 15 spy agencies of the US including the CIA, has said in its global trends forecast for 15 years.
“The size of its population — 1.2 billion by 2015 — and its technologically driven economic growth virtually dictate that India will be a rising regional power,” it said. However, the report said that the unevenness of its internal economic growth, with a growing gap between rich and poor, and serious questions about the fractious nature of its politics, all cast doubt on how powerful India will be by 2015
“Whatever its degree of power, India’s rising ambition will further strain its relations with China, as well as complicate its ties with Russia, Japan and the West — and continue its nuclear standoff with Pakistan,” it said. Moreover, other South Asian states — Bangladesh, Sri Lanka and Nepal — will be drawn closer to and more dependent on India and its economy. Afghanistan will likely remain a weak and destabilising force in the region and the world.
Wary of China, India will look increasingly to the West, but its need for oil and desire to balance Arab ties to Pakistan will lead to strengthened ties to persian Gulf states as well. The NIC also forecast that India, China and Russia could form a de facto geo-strategic alliance in an attempt to counter-balance US and western influence.
Noting that the interests of Russia, China and India, as well as Iran and Turkey will intersect in central Asia, it said the states of that region will attempt to balance those powers as well as keep the US and the West engaged to prevent their domination by an outside power.
On other fronts, it said Indian democracy will remain strong, albeit more factionalised by the secular-Hindu nationalist debate, growing differentials among regions and the increase in competitive party politics.
On the economic front, it said India’s economy, long repressed by the heavy hand of regulation, is likely to achieve sustained growth to the degree reforms are implemented.
High-technology companies will be the most dynamic agents and will lead the thriving service sector in four key urban centres — Mumbai, New Delhi, Bangalore and Chennai. Computer software services and customised applications will continue to expand as India strengthens economic ties to key international markets. Industries such as pharmaceuticals and agro-processing will also compete globally.
It said numerous factors provide India a competitive advantage in the global economy including the largest English-speaking population in the developing world; its education system which produces millions of scientific and technical personnel.
It also noted that India has a growing business-minded middle class eager to strengthen ties to the outside world, and the large Indian expatriate population provides strong links to key markets around the world.
However, despite the rapid growth, more than half a billion Indians will remain in dire poverty, the NIC says. Harnessing technology to improve agriculture will be India’s main challenge in alleviating poverty in 2015.
The widening Gulf between “have” and “have-not” regions and disagreements over the pace and nature of reforms will be a source of domestic strife.
Rapidly growing, poorer northern states will continue to drain resources in subsidies and social welfare benefits. Failure by India to implement its reforms would prevent it from achieving sustained growth.
AIDS will be a major problem not only in Africa but also in India, southeast Asia, several countries formerly part of the Soviet Union, and possibly China.
Among developing countries, India will remain in the forefront in developing information technology, led by the growing class of high-tech workers and entrepreneurs. Emerging Asia will be the fastest growing region, led by breakout candidates China and India, whose economies already comprise roughly one-sixth of the global gross domestic product.
The global community will have to deal with the military, political and economic dimensions of the rise of China and India and the continued decline of Russia. END